Bobgram

Bob McDavitt's ideas for sailing around the South Pacific. Disclaimer: Weather is a mix of pattern and chaos; these ideas are from the patterned world. Compiled 11 October 2026 FEEDSPOT My weathergram blog started in 1995 in response to the storm that affected the 1994 Auckland to Suva yacht race. It has recently been selected to join the Top 80 Weather Blogs on the web (2026 edition). https://bloggers.feedspot.com/weather_blogs/ Feedspot is an RSS Reader that lets you subscribe to blogs, news sites, and any website you want to keep up with. This is a proud achievement. And if you have time please check the link to the Top 80 I'm sure there are some sites that will help you. Sea Mercy The coming Cyclone season may well start early with the cyclone risk already building in the Samoa area. The next MJO is expected towards the end of November, but things may kick off before then, as some models already have a tropical low forming near Samoa. If you intend to stay in Fiji this cyclone season and are willing to help out in the event of a natural disaster, then consider contacting SEA MERCY at https://seamercyfiji.org On the past 10 years they have managed over 100 volunteer yachts to provide assistance around affected Islands. TROPICS * Hurricane Isaias weakened quickly upon landfall in Florida. * The western Pacific typhoon season remained extremely active, with Nolo, Choi-Wan and Koguma churning the ocean. * Hurricane RACHEL and SIMON lost force off Baja California. WEATHER ZONES SPCZ is mainly north of 10S. Low L2 over Tuvalu by mid week may deepen near Samoa by weekend. HIGH H1 east of NZ and south of Tahiti is quasi-stationary and blocked a couplet of lows west and east of NZ last few days. Those lows have now faded leaving behind a disturbed westerly flow with some leftover rain bands. This High has also been enhancing the trade winds between Tahiti and Fiji. Low L1 is traveling quickly beast along 45s and associated FRONT is expected to reach Brisbane on Wednesday, and Northland on Thursday. A day or two of southerly winds following that front is expected to get north to Noumea/ Minerva by Saturday. So, If in Fiji or Tonga then maybe stay put until that southerly comes and goes. If in Noumea, then there are some reasonable -looking voyages departing between Monday and Wednesday to NZ if you are bold enough. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> If you would like more details about your voyage, check metbob.com Or Facebook at /www.facebook.com/metbobnz/ Weathergram with graphics is at metbob.wordpress.com (subscribe/unsubscribe at bottom). Weathergram archive (with translator) is at weathergram.blogspot.co.nz. Contact is bob@metbob.com or text 64277762212. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>