Bob Blog 31 March 2024

Bob McDavitt's ideas for sailing around the South Pacific.
Disclaimer: Weather is a mix of pattern and chaos; these ideas are
from the patterned world.
Compiled Sunday 31 March 2024

Just a brief blog this evening…. Have been busy getting my expenses
paid in time as the financial year crashes out mid Easter (ouch)

Congratulations to Dr Jim Salinger fir being declared (Kiwibank's)
NEW ZEALANDER OF THE YEAR 2024.
He has been advocating the need to act to mitigate climate change
since '75 , 50 years of mahi.


TROPICS
Category-2 Cyclone Gamane passed by the northern tip of Madagascar
with high winds and heavy rain before taking aim on Réunion and
Mauritius. • No features around at end of March/start of April
(nothing in that department to carry forward to the new financial
year)

The MJO pattern is now reforming in the Indian Ocea, We should have a
few quiet weeks in the South Pacific , but there may be one last
chance for an increase in tropical activity around mid-April before
the nominal end of this cyclone season.

WEATHER ZONES
The South Pacific Convergence zone is weakening and extends from
northern Coral Sea across Vanuatu and norther Fiji /Tonga towards
Suwarrow.

HIGHS and LOWS
The Low east of NZ is now moving off and pressures are rising as
autumnal HIGH H1 moves from Tasman Sea, across central NZ on Tuesday
then slowly off to the East.
There is a trough lurking off to southeast of French Polynesia near
Pitcairn. Avoid.
There is also a well-developed "mirror ITCZ" near 5S. 100-160W,

Low L! is expected to move across Tasmania on Tuesday and its
associated FRONT should cross NZ on Thursday and Friday.
HIGH H2 in Australian bight is expected to cross Tasmania on Friday
and reach southern NZ this weekend.

A Low is expected to form near Lord Howe Island on Saturday/Sunday
6/7 April. Avoid.

Please to remember the change back to standard time in Australia and
NZ on Sunday 7 April.
3am DT->2am Standard time, so by repeating an hour we have a 25hour
day.

Panama to Marquesas:
Best day this week for a sailing departure from Panama is Monday 1
April, and then it may be good again for sailing on Wednesday 10
April.
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If you would like more details about your voyage, then check
metbob.com to see what I offer.
Or Facebook at /www.facebook.com/metbobnz/
Weathergram with graphics is at metbob.wordpress.com
(subscribe/unsubscribe at bottom).
Weathergram archive (with translator) is at
weathergram.blogspot.co.nz.
Contact is bob@metbob.com or text 64277762212.
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