Bob blog 10 March

Bob McDavitt's ideas for sailing around the South Pacific.
Disclaimer: Weather is a mix of pattern and chaos; these ideas are
from the patterned world.
Compiled Sunday 10 March 2024

Brace for a few weeks of extra convective energy (bubbly blue) in the
South Pacific as the MJO moves across the Pacific.
See www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/forca.shtml

ALSO: Between Galapagos and Marquesas, that "mirror convergence
zones"" which I mentioned before have now formed :

TROPICS
There are no named storms tonight. But there is potential for cyclonic
formation in the zone between northern Australia and Fiji during the
coming eek.

WEATHER ZONES
The South Pacific Convergence zone is very active this week across the
Coral Sea and Vanuatu to Fiji and then east-south-eastwards to the
Austral Islands.
Tropical Low L3 now over Vanuatu is expected to travel southeast
across Fiji on Tuesday and Tonga on Wed/Thursday. Avoid.
Another Low L4 may form near New Caledonia from Wednesday. Avoid.

HIGHS and LOWS
HIGH H1 is lingering in the north Tasman Sea
Low L1, well to the east of NZ, is expected to linger south of Tahiti
this week.
Low L2 and associated trough is expected to cross the southern Tasman
Sea this week and then NZ on Friday. Avoid.

Panama to Marquesas:
The northerly winds in Panama gulf are expected to extend as far as
5North this week.
Monday or Tuesday departures are looking best of the week.

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