Bob Blog

Bob McDavitt’s ideas for sailing around the South Pacific.

Disclaimer: Weather is a mix of pattern and chaos; these ideas are from the patterned world.

Compiled Sun 27 Dec 2020

 

The calendar is about to turn from 2020 to 2021, and to mark the occasion many sing Auld Lang Syne

--- there is one verse with the English translation as follows:

 

We two have paddled in the stream,

from morning sun till dine;

But seas between us broad have roared

since auld lang syne.

 

So, here’s to a cup of kindness between us for the sake of the turn of the year.

 

Also, by way of a late Christmas present, here’s a way you can get access to the Fiji Meteorological Service’s latest Oceanic forecast (as a text messages) so those of you in the vulnerable zone and keep up-to-date:

Send an email to query@saildocs.com, no SUBJECT needed, with message

SEND http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/10140.txt

And for Tropical cyclone discussion use SEND https://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/20036.txt

 

MJO

The MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation) is a wave of enhanced tropical activity that travels eastwards around the world. It is expected to be too weak to have much influence over the next few weeks.

The Tropics

TC CHALANE is about to make landfall over Madagascar.

There are also some zone s of high potential for tropical cyclone formation around eastern Indonesia/Papua New Guinea this week.

WEATHER ZONES

SPCZ=South Pacific Convergence zone.

SPCZ stretches from Solomon Islands to Vanuatu to between Fiji and Samoa.

A passing trough is expected to affect Tonga on Monday and move east onto Niue and maybe the southern cooks during the week.

Another tropical trough is expected to form off Queensland coast on Wednesday and move onto New Caledonia on Friday/Saturday.

 

Subtropical ridge (STR)

HIGH 1022 in Tasman Sea is expected to fade over northern NZ by Thursday.

HIGH south of Tasmania on Friday is expected to travel to south of NZ by early next week.

 

NZ/Tasman troughs

Low 10004 is expected to linger east of the North Island for much of this week.

Trough in western Tasman Sea today is expected to travel east and reach South Island from late Tuesday and fade over North Island on Wednesday.

Another front from the Southern Ocean is expected to reach South Island on Thursday and then deepen into a low over central NZ on Friday to Sunday.

 

Fiji/Tonga to NZ: Weather looks OK for a departure this week.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> 

If you would like more detail for your voyage, then check metbob.com to see what I offer.

Or Facebook at /www.facebook.com/metbobnz/

Weathergram with graphics is at metbob.wordpress.com (subscribe/unsubscribe at bottom).

Weathergram archive (with translator) is at weathergram.blogspot.co.nz.

Contact is bob@metbob.com or txt 6427 7762212

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>